Journal cover Journal topic
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography An international open-access journal on applied statistics
Journal topic
Volume 4, issue 1/2
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 65-86, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-65-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 65-86, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-65-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

  14 Dec 2018

14 Dec 2018

Hourly probabilistic snow forecasts over complex terrain: a hybrid ensemble postprocessing approach

Reto Stauffer et al.
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Amt der Tiroler Landesregierung: Statistisches Jahrbuch Bundesland Tirol, https://www.tirol.gv.at/fileadmin/themen/statistik-budget/statistik/downloads/Statistisches_Handbuch_2014.pdf (last access: 15 July 2016), 2014.
Bellaire, S., Jamieson, J. B., and Fierz, C.: Forcing the snow-cover model SNOWPACK with forecasted weather data, The Cryosphere, 5, 1115–1125, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1115-2011, 2011.
BMLFUW: Bundesministerium für Land und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft (BMLFUW), Abteilung IV/4 – Wasserhaushalt, available at: http://ehyd.gv.at, last access: 14 November 2018.
Bouallègue, Z. B. and Theis, S. E.: Spatial Techniques Applied to Precipitation Ensemble Forecasts: from Verification Results to Probabilistic Products, Meteorol. Appl., 21, 922–929, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1435, 2014.
Bröcker, J. and Smith, L. A.: Increasing the Reliability of Reliability Diagrams, Weather Forecast., 22, 651–661, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF993.1, 2007.
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Snowfall forecasts are important for a range of economic sectors as well as for the safety of people and infrastructure, especially in mountainous regions. This work presents a novel statistical approach to provide accurate forecasts for fresh snow amounts and the probability of snowfall combining data from various sources. The results demonstrate that the new approach is able to provide reliable high-resolution hourly snowfall forecasts for the eastern European Alps up to 3 days ahead.
Snowfall forecasts are important for a range of economic sectors as well as for the safety of...
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