Journal cover Journal topic
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography An international open-access journal on applied statistics
Journal topic
Volume 4, issue 1/2
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 65-86, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-65-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 65-86, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-65-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

  14 Dec 2018

14 Dec 2018

Hourly probabilistic snow forecasts over complex terrain: a hybrid ensemble postprocessing approach

Reto Stauffer et al.
Related authors  
NWP-based lightning prediction using flexible count data regression
Thorsten Simon, Georg J. Mayr, Nikolaus Umlauf, and Achim Zeileis
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 5, 1-16, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-5-1-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-5-1-2019, 2019
Short summary
Characteristics and evolution of diurnal foehn events in the Dead Sea valley
Jutta Vüllers, Georg J. Mayr, Ulrich Corsmeier, and Christoph Kottmeier
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 18169-18186, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-18169-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-18169-2018, 2018
Short summary
Subsiding shells and vertical mass flux in warm cumulus clouds over land
Christian Mallaun, Andreas Giez, Georg J. Mayr, and Mathias W. Rotach
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-825,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-825, 2018
Manuscript under review for ACP
Short summary
Spatial and temporal analysis of fatal off-piste and backcountry avalanche accidents in Austria with a comparison of results in Switzerland, France, Italy and the US
Christian Pfeifer, Peter Höller, and Achim Zeileis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 571-582, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-571-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-571-2018, 2018
Short summary
Spatio-temporal modelling of lightning climatologies for complex terrain
Thorsten Simon, Nikolaus Umlauf, Achim Zeileis, Georg J. Mayr, Wolfgang Schulz, and Gerhard Diendorfer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 305-314, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-305-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-305-2017, 2017
Short summary
Related subject area  
Atmospheric science
A statistical framework for conditional extreme event attribution
Pascal Yiou, Aglaé Jézéquel, Philippe Naveau, Frederike E. L. Otto, Robert Vautard, and Mathieu Vrac
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 3, 17-31, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-3-17-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-3-17-2017, 2017
Short summary
Mixture model-based atmospheric air mass classification: a probabilistic view of thermodynamic profiles
Jérôme Pernin, Mathieu Vrac, Cyril Crevoisier, and Alain Chédin
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 2, 115-136, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-115-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-115-2016, 2016
Short summary
A path towards uncertainty assignment in an operational cloud-phase algorithm from ARM vertically pointing active sensors
Laura D. Riihimaki, Jennifer M. Comstock, Kevin K. Anderson, Aimee Holmes, and Edward Luke
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 2, 49-62, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-49-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-49-2016, 2016
Short summary
Characterization of extreme precipitation within atmospheric river events over California
S. Jeon, Prabhat, S. Byna, J. Gu, W. D. Collins, and M. F. Wehner
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 1, 45-57, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-1-45-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-1-45-2015, 2015
Short summary
Cited articles  
Amt der Tiroler Landesregierung: Statistisches Jahrbuch Bundesland Tirol, https://www.tirol.gv.at/fileadmin/themen/statistik-budget/statistik/downloads/Statistisches_Handbuch_2014.pdf (last access: 15 July 2016), 2014.
Bellaire, S., Jamieson, J. B., and Fierz, C.: Forcing the snow-cover model SNOWPACK with forecasted weather data, The Cryosphere, 5, 1115–1125, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-1115-2011, 2011.
BMLFUW: Bundesministerium für Land und Forstwirtschaft, Umwelt und Wasserwirtschaft (BMLFUW), Abteilung IV/4 – Wasserhaushalt, available at: http://ehyd.gv.at, last access: 14 November 2018.
Bouallègue, Z. B. and Theis, S. E.: Spatial Techniques Applied to Precipitation Ensemble Forecasts: from Verification Results to Probabilistic Products, Meteorol. Appl., 21, 922–929, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1435, 2014.
Bröcker, J. and Smith, L. A.: Increasing the Reliability of Reliability Diagrams, Weather Forecast., 22, 651–661, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF993.1, 2007.
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
Snowfall forecasts are important for a range of economic sectors as well as for the safety of people and infrastructure, especially in mountainous regions. This work presents a novel statistical approach to provide accurate forecasts for fresh snow amounts and the probability of snowfall combining data from various sources. The results demonstrate that the new approach is able to provide reliable high-resolution hourly snowfall forecasts for the eastern European Alps up to 3 days ahead.
Snowfall forecasts are important for a range of economic sectors as well as for the safety of...
Citation